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South Africa’s National Health Insurance (NHI) programme faces an extended period of legal uncertainty, with Health Minister Aaron Motsoaledi confirming that the policy is currently the subject of at least 14 court challenges, with a potential 15th case expected to be filed. Despite the mounting litigation, government says preparations for the implementation of universal healthcare will continue.

Addressing Parliament’s Portfolio Committee on Health, Motsoaledi said the growing number of court cases challenging the NHI could keep the policy tied up in litigation for as long as 15 to 20 years. He described the situation as an “unending formula” of legal challenges and appeals, warning that separate cases brought in multiple courts could significantly delay the resolution of disputes surrounding the legislation.

Motsoaledi indicated that government is considering asking the courts to consolidate the various legal challenges into a single process, arguing that they all relate to the same legislation. According to the minister, allowing multiple courts to hear different challenges to the same law could result in conflicting outcomes and unnecessary delays.

The latest legal developments stem from a broader agreement between government and several litigants to temporarily pause many of the legal challenges until the Constitutional Court has ruled on whether Parliament followed the correct procedures when passing the NHI Bill in 2023. The court is scheduled to hear the matter from 5 to 7 May 2026.

One of the key cases was brought by the Western Cape government, led by Premier Alan Winde. The province has asked the Constitutional Court to declare the National Council of Provinces’ public participation process unconstitutional, arguing that the NCOP failed to adequately consider the views of residents of the Western Cape when deliberating on the bill.

If the court finds that the legislative process was flawed, the ruling could effectively invalidate the NHI Act, as the NCOP is the final parliamentary body required to approve legislation before it becomes law. Such a ruling could force Parliament to restart parts of the legislative process, potentially delaying the policy for several years.

Even if the Constitutional Court rules in favour of government, the minister acknowledged that the other suspended court challenges would resume. In such a scenario, further appeals and additional litigation could continue to delay the policy’s implementation.

The NHI Act was signed into law by President Cyril Ramaphosa in May 2024 ahead of South Africa’s national elections. However, key provisions of the law have not yet been promulgated, and Ramaphosa has undertaken not to implement sections of the act until the major court challenges have been resolved.

Motsoaledi confirmed that certain steps required for the formal implementation of the NHI—such as establishing the NHI Board and promulgating regulations related to the scheme—have been placed on hold while the legal process unfolds.

However, the minister emphasised that preparatory work for the NHI continues. According to the Department of Health, groundwork for the programme includes developing digital health systems, improving healthcare infrastructure and strengthening primary healthcare services.

Among the initiatives moving forward is the rollout of a Health Patient Registration System developed by the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR). The system is intended to track patients across different healthcare facilities and support the future administration of the NHI.

Government is also continuing with plans to expand healthcare capacity, including the construction of new public academic hospitals and the development of additional medical schools. Motsoaledi stressed that the pause in implementing the act does not apply to these preparatory activities.

Funding allocations in the 2026 national budget reflect this approach. Approximately R9.3 billion has been earmarked for NHI-related spending through a combination of direct and indirect funding. Direct provincial NHI grants amount to roughly R1.5 billion over the medium term from 2026 to 2028, increasing gradually each year.

Indirect funding, which totals more than R7.8 billion over the same period, will support broader improvements in public healthcare infrastructure, digital systems and facility upgrades that form part of the long-term NHI project.

Despite government’s continued preparations, the policy faces significant criticism from some healthcare experts and stakeholders. Governance specialist Professor Alex van den Heever has argued that the scheme faces structural challenges beyond the current litigation, including concerns over its funding model and institutional design.

Van den Heever maintains that the NHI lacks a clear and sustainable funding mechanism and may struggle to achieve its goal of universal healthcare in its current form. He argues that the government should instead focus on reforms aimed at improving governance and efficiency within both the public and private healthcare systems.

According to Van den Heever, South Africa has seen limited structural healthcare reforms over the past two decades, while performance in both sectors has deteriorated. He warns that focusing resources on an unworkable policy framework could further strain an already underperforming healthcare system.

Nevertheless, many litigants challenging the NHI say they support the principle of universal healthcare but oppose the current policy design. The coming Constitutional Court ruling is expected to play a pivotal role in determining the future trajectory of the NHI and the broader debate over healthcare reform in South Africa.